气温与PM2.5对呼吸系统疾病死亡的协同效应研究

doi:10.20047/j.issn1673-7210.2022.27.01

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Abstract Objective To study the effect of the synergistic effect of PM2.5 and air temperature on the death population of residents with respiratory diseases. Methods A generalized additive model based on time series was used to explore the health effects of PM2.5 concentration and air temperature on the population in this area, and a bivariate response surface was established to evaluate the interaction between PM2.5 and air temperature on the death of residents from respiratory diseases. Results From 2014 to 2018, there were 25 971 deaths of residents in the area due to respiratory diseases, with an average daily death toll of 14 cases. The effect of PM2.5 on the death of residents’ respiratory diseases had a lag effect, and the effect was the largest when the lag was 2 d, with every increase of 10 μg/m3. Residents’ daily risk of death from respiratory diseases was increased by 0.36% (95%CI: 0, 0.72%). Under the conditions of low temperature and high concentration of PM2.5, the mortality risk of respiratory diseases was the highest, and low temperature and PM2.5 had a synergistic effect on the mortality risk of respiratory diseases. Conclusion Atmospheric PM2.5 exposure can increase the risk of death from respiratory diseases in residents, and low air temperature has a synergistic effect.

Key words： Particulate matter 2.5 Temperature Respiratory diseases Mortality

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	ZHANG Weining SUN Yuanyuan SHEN Xifeng LI Meiting NAN Jiale GAO Dongping

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ZHANG Weining SUN Yuanyuan SHEN Xifeng LI Meiting NAN Jiale GAO Dongping. Study of the synergistic effect of air temperature and PM2.5 on the death of respiratory diseases[J]. 中国医药导报, 2022, 19(27): 7-11.

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https://www.yiyaodaobao.com.cn/EN/10.20047/j.issn1673-7210.2022.27.01 OR https://www.yiyaodaobao.com.cn/EN/Y2022/V19/I27/7

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